We are using the SPDR STI ETF (ES3.SI) as a benchmark for STI.
Return = (closing price – opening price) / opening price
Return = (closing price – opening price + dividend paid) / opening price
Recommended Read: CPF Account Effective Interest Rates
Analysis: Best Month
The best month is……….. APRIL!
Over the past 13 cycles, STI experienced only 2 non-positive Aprils, with the worse being only -1%.
The second best month is……….. March!
Over the past 13 cycles, STI experienced 3 negative Marches.
Guess we just missed the best time to get in and invest in STI. 😉
In addition, with or without factoring dividend returns does not seem to affect the top 2 months of best return.
Though it did make Februaries’ return looks a lot better.
Analysis: Worse Month
Without factoring dividend return, the worse month is……….. AUGUST!
Followed by February and May.
Factoring in dividend return, the worse month is……….. May!
Followed by Jue and August.
Seems like the best time to avoid STI is August and May.
Guess the old saying ‘Sell in May and go away’ does apply to Singapore markets.
Do not make any investment decisions based upon materials found on this website.
Investment Stab is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and is not qualified to give financial advice.
Investors are reminded to do their own due diligence and invest according to their risk appetite.
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